Key to Kerry victory? Ohio + 7
Ryan Lizza shows how Kerry need only take Ohio and seven more electoral votes (e.g., Iowa) to win.
Relevant clip:
Assuming a base of 243, if Kerry wins only the biggest of these five states--Ohio--he would still lose the election 275-263. To win, he has to keep his base of 243, prevail in Ohio, and still find seven more electoral votes. He has three options: take back Iowa (7) or Wisconsin (10) from Bush; win Colorado (9); or win two out of the three small toss-ups: West Virginia (5), Nevada (5), and New Hampshire (4).
Relevant clip:
Assuming a base of 243, if Kerry wins only the biggest of these five states--Ohio--he would still lose the election 275-263. To win, he has to keep his base of 243, prevail in Ohio, and still find seven more electoral votes. He has three options: take back Iowa (7) or Wisconsin (10) from Bush; win Colorado (9); or win two out of the three small toss-ups: West Virginia (5), Nevada (5), and New Hampshire (4).
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